NCAA Tournament March Madness

#197 Tarleton St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Tarleton State’s profile is a blend of encouraging home wins and damaging road defeats that explains its current standing: the road victory at Rice and home wins over Texas A&M–Corpus Christi and Merrimack show the team can close out games, but the lopsided losses at SMU, LSU, Baylor and Cincinnati are hard to overlook and leave no marquee neutral-site win to point to. Most of the résumé’s best results came against lower-tier opposition, so the committee will focus on whether Tarleton can turn its conference slate into resume repair by taking advantage of home dates and by winning the tougher road tests at UT Arlington, Utah Valley and Cal Baptist. Those outcomes will determine whether the positives outweigh the bad losses because quality wins away from home or on neutral floors are the only clear path to shifting the narrative.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@SMU42L96-76
11/5@LSU25L96-60
11/8TAM C. Christi248W85-77
11/11Merrimack285W76-62
11/14@Baylor29L94-81
11/20@Rice217W90-74
12/1@Cincinnati73L76-58
12/16@MS Valley St36593%
12/19Florida A&M34487%
12/29@UT Arlington18337%
1/1Utah Valley8931%
1/3Cal Baptist13645%
1/8Abilene Chr23768%
1/15@Southern Utah32264%
1/17@Utah Tech24147%
1/21@UT Arlington18337%
1/24Abilene Chr23768%
1/29Utah Valley8931%
1/31Utah Tech24169%
2/5@Cal Baptist13625%
2/7@Southern Utah32264%
2/14@Abilene Chr23746%
2/19Southern Utah32282%
2/21Utah Tech24169%
2/26@Utah Valley8915%
2/28@Cal Baptist13625%
3/5UT Arlington18359%